APEX picks
Brendan Allen versus Christian Leroy Duncan — Duncan to win
37% Allen · 63% Duncan63%
Solid confidence
Capped at 85% by design
No line posted for this bout, so there's nothing to check the read against. The pick is unaffected — it comes from the fighters' own numbers either way.
Your pickFree account
Sign in to lock your pick and track your record vs. APEX.
Why — the drivers
Recent form (last 5)the last five boutsAllen: 3-2Duncan: 5-0Leans toward Duncan.
Reachhow far they can hit fromAllen: 75"Duncan: 79"Leans toward Duncan.
Takedown pacetakedowns / 15 minAllen: 1.5Duncan: 0.4Leans toward Allen.
Durability (KO losses)times stopped in the UFCAllen: 2Duncan: 0Leans toward Duncan.
Submission threatattempts / 15 minAllen: 1.0Duncan: 0.0Leans toward Allen.
Control timeshare of the fight controlledAllen: 30%Duncan: 20%Leans toward Allen.
Career recordshown for context — not part of the pickAllen: 27-7-0Duncan: 15-2-0Shown for context; it does not move the pick.
Duncan leads on recent form (last 5) and reach; Allen leads on takedown pace.
Each bar leans toward the fighter that metric favours; its length is how hard the metric pulled, next to the strongest one here. The gold rows are not edges — they never push the pick toward either fighter.
How it likely ends
How it ends is for members
Sign inRound projection
When it ends is for members
Sign in Swept 19 + 10 fightsFeeds: ESPN scoreboard · ESPN core · ESPN BET oddsAs of