APEX picks
Natalia Silva versus Wang Cong — Silva to win
52% Silva · 48% Cong52%
Lean call — near even
Capped at 85% by design
APEX reads52%From the fighters' numbers
Vegas, de-vigged67%Silva -230
AgreesBoth sides favour Silva; the line is 14 points more confident than APEX. Shown for comparison — the line is not an input to the pick.
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Why — the drivers
Recent form (last 5)the last five boutsSilva: 5-0Cong: 4-1Leans toward Silva.
Ageyears oldSilva: 29Cong: 34Leans toward Silva.
Striking volumesig. strikes landed / minSilva: 4.8Cong: 6.8Leans toward Cong.
Striking accuracyof the strikes they throwSilva: 45%Cong: 58%Leans toward Cong.
Knockdown powerknockdowns / 15 minSilva: 0.29Cong: 0.64Leans toward Cong.
Striking vs defensestrikes they keep offSilva: 66%Cong: 60%Leans toward Silva.
Career recordshown for context — not part of the pickSilva: 20-5-1Cong: 10-1-0Shown for context; it does not move the pick.
Silva leads on recent form (last 5) and age; Cong leads on striking volume.
Each bar leans toward the fighter that metric favours; its length is how hard the metric pulled, next to the strongest one here. The gold rows are not edges — they never push the pick toward either fighter.
Variable form — recent results swing between dominant and disastrous on at least one side, so the read is damped further toward an even fight.
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Sign in Swept 8 + 6 fightsFeeds: ESPN scoreboard · ESPN core · ESPN BET oddsAs of