Red Corner
Alexa
Grasso
Grasso
17-5-1 Orthodox · Mexico
VS
3 Rounds
Blue Corner
Manon
Fiorot
Fiorot
13-2-0 Orthodox · France
Market anchor
No line posted for this bout — a stats-only read, so the confidence tier is capped.
How it likely ends
| KO / TKO | Sub | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorot | 32% | 7% | 30% |
| Grasso | 10% | 6% | 16% |
Goes the distance46%
Round projection
Goes the distance
Veteran read Two seasoned veterans (15 and 9 UFC bouts), but the styles point to the scorecards.
Why — the drivers
Most likely path: Fiorot by KO/TKO (32%). 54% chance of a finish.
Highest single-outcome probability on the board.
favors Fiorot
Recent form (last 5): 2-2-1 vs 4-1
favors Fiorot
Career record: 17-5-1 vs 13-2-0
favors Fiorot
Striking volume: 3.1/min vs 5.7/min
favors Fiorot
Age: 32 vs 36
favors Grasso
Takedown pace: 0.3/15min vs 1.1/15min
favors Fiorot
Finish rate: 29% vs 54% of wins
favors Fiorot
Swept 20 / 15 fightsFeeds: ESPN scoreboard · ESPN core · ESPN BET oddsAs of Jul 24, 11:02 AM ET