
Red Corner
TBA
TBA
TBA
--
VS
5 Rounds

Blue Corner
Opponent
TBA
TBA
--
Market anchor
No line posted for this bout — a stats-only read, so the confidence tier is capped.
How it likely ends
| KO / TKO | Sub | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TBA | 13% | 6% | 35% |
| TBA | 11% | 5% | 30% |
Goes the distance65%
Round projection
Likely goes the distance
Exact round is withheld — needs 9+ UFC fights each — have 4 and 5; TBA on a 24+ month layoff; TBA on a 24+ month layoff. The engine only commits a round when the sample earns it.
Why — the drivers
Most likely path: TBA by Decision (35%). 35% chance of a finish.
Highest single-outcome probability on the board.
favors TBA
Layoff — TBA: 75 months out
favors TBA
Layoff — TBA: 75 months out
favors TBA
Recent form (last 5): 0-1-4 vs 0-0-5
favors TBA
Durability (KO losses): 1 vs 0 in UFC
favors TBA
Swept 9 / 6 fightsFeeds: ESPN scoreboard · ESPN core · ESPN BET oddsAs of Jul 24, 11:01 AM ET