APEX picks
Isaac Moreno versus Reginaldo Junior — Junior to win
50% Moreno · 50% Junior50%
Lean call — near even
Capped at 85% by design
APEX reads50%From the fighters' numbers
Vegas, de-vigged47%Junior +104
DisagreesThe line makes Moreno the favourite; APEX has Junior 3 points higher than the market does. Shown for comparison — the line is not an input to the pick.
Your pickFree account
Sign in to lock your pick and track your record vs. APEX.
Why — the drivers
Finish rateof career winsMoreno: 63%Junior: 82%Leans toward Junior.
Career recordshown for context — not part of the pickMoreno: 8-0-0Junior: 11-1-0Shown for context; it does not move the pick.
Junior leads on all of it — finish rate.
Each bar leans toward the fighter that metric favours; its length is how hard the metric pulled, next to the strongest one here. The gold rows are not edges — they never push the pick toward either fighter.
How it likely ends
How it ends is for members
Sign inRound projection
When it ends is for members
Sign in Swept 8 + 12 fightsFeeds: ESPN scoreboard · ESPN core · ESPN BET oddsAs of