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Red Corner
TBA
TBA
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VS
3 Rounds
Blue Corner
Opponent
TBA
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46TBA
54TBA · Favored
Pick · Opponent TBA · LEANModel reads 54%Capped at 85% by design
Market anchor
No line posted for this bout — a stats-only read, so the confidence tier is capped.
How it likely ends
KO / TKOSubDec
TBA13%6%35%
TBA11%5%30%
Goes the distance65%
Round projection
Likely goes the distance
15%
R1
11%
R2
9%
R3
R4
R5
65%
Dist
Exact round is withheld — needs 9+ UFC fights each — have 4 and 5; TBA on a 24+ month layoff; TBA on a 24+ month layoff. The engine only commits a round when the sample earns it.
Why — the drivers
Most likely path: TBA by Decision (35%). 35% chance of a finish.
Highest single-outcome probability on the board.
favors TBA
Layoff — TBA: 75 months out
favors TBA
Layoff — TBA: 75 months out
favors TBA
Recent form (last 5): 0-1-4 vs 0-0-5
favors TBA
Durability (KO losses): 1 vs 0 in UFC
favors TBA
Swept 9 / 6 fightsFeeds: ESPN scoreboard · ESPN core · ESPN BET oddsAs of Jul 24, 11:03 AM ET