Red Corner
Henrique
da Silva Lopes
da Silva Lopes
5-2-0 -- · Brazil
VS
3 Rounds
Blue Corner
Louie
Sutherland
Sutherland
11-5-0 Orthodox · England
Market anchor
No line posted for this bout — a stats-only read, so the confidence tier is capped.
How it likely ends
| KO / TKO | Sub | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sutherland | 36% | 7% | 25% |
| da Silva Lopes | 20% | 3% | 8% |
Goes the distance33%
Round projection
Finish likely — early
Exact round is withheld — needs 9+ UFC fights each — have 0 and 3; da Silva Lopes on a 24+ month layoff; da Silva Lopes's chin cracked in a recent fight; Sutherland's chin cracked in a recent fight. The engine only commits a round when the sample earns it.
Why — the drivers
Most likely path: Sutherland by KO/TKO (36%). 67% chance of a finish.
Highest single-outcome probability on the board.
favors Sutherland
Age: 41 vs 32
favors Sutherland
Reach: — vs 76"
favors Sutherland
Layoff — da Silva Lopes: 84 months out
favors Sutherland
Recent form (last 5): 3-2 vs 3-2
favors Sutherland
Career record: 5-2-0 vs 11-5-0
favors da Silva Lopes
Durability (KO losses): 1 vs 1 in UFC
favors Sutherland
Swept 7 / 16 fightsFeeds: ESPN scoreboard · ESPN core · ESPN BET oddsAs of Jul 24, 10:11 AM ET