Red Corner
Mateusz
Gamrot
Gamrot
26-4-0 Southpaw · Poland
VS
5 Rounds
Blue Corner
Quillan
Salkilld
Salkilld
12-1-0 Orthodox · Australia
Market anchor
No line posted for this bout — a stats-only read, so the confidence tier is capped.
How it likely ends
| KO / TKO | Sub | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Salkilld | 39% | 21% | 20% |
| Gamrot | 7% | 4% | 8% |
Goes the distance29%
Round projection
Finish likely — late
Exact round is withheld — needs 9+ UFC fights each — have 13 and 5. The engine only commits a round when the sample earns it.
Why — the drivers
Most likely path: Salkilld by KO/TKO (39%). 71% chance of a finish.
Highest single-outcome probability on the board.
favors Salkilld
Recent form (last 5): 3-2 vs 5-0
favors Salkilld
Age: 35 vs 26
favors Salkilld
Knockdown power: 0.10/15min vs 1.14/15min
favors Salkilld
Career record: 26-4-0 vs 12-1-0
favors Salkilld
Reach: 70.5" vs 75"
favors Salkilld
Striking volume: 3.2/min vs 5.0/min
favors Salkilld
Swept 20 / 13 fightsFeeds: ESPN scoreboard · ESPN core · ESPN BET oddsAs of Jul 24, 10:11 AM ET