FinalGomes def. Xiaonan — KO/TKO — Elbow, Round 1, 4:49APEX called it ✓
APEX picks
Yan Xiaonan versus Denise Gomes — Gomes to win
26% Xiaonan · 74% Gomes74%
Strong confidence
Capped at 85% by design
No line posted for this bout, so there's nothing to check the read against. The pick is unaffected — it comes from the fighters' own numbers either way.
Your pickFree account
Sign in to lock your pick and track your record vs. APEX.
Why — the drivers
Recent form (last 5)the last five boutsXiaonan: 3-2Gomes: 4-1Leans toward Gomes.
Ageyears oldXiaonan: 37Gomes: 26Leans toward Gomes.
Layoff — Xiaonansince the last boutXiaonan: 17 moGomes: —Leans toward Gomes.
Control timeshare of the fight controlledXiaonan: 8%Gomes: 30%Leans toward Gomes.
Finish rateof career winsXiaonan: 11%Gomes: 50%Leans toward Gomes.
Striking vs defensestrikes they keep offXiaonan: 60%Gomes: 46%Leans toward Xiaonan.
Career recordshown for context — not part of the pickXiaonan: 19-6-0Gomes: 13-3-0Shown for context; it does not move the pick.
Gomes leads on all 3 of the strongest terms here — recent form (last 5), age and layoff — xiaonan.
Each bar leans toward the fighter that metric favours; its length is how hard the metric pulled, next to the strongest one here. The gold rows are not edges — they never push the pick toward either fighter.
Variable form — recent results swing between dominant and disastrous on at least one side, so the read is damped further toward an even fight.
How it likely ends
How it ends is for members
Sign inRound projection
When it ends is for members
Sign in Swept 13 + 8 fightsFeeds: ESPN scoreboard · ESPN core · ESPN BET oddsAs of