Red Corner
Kennedy
Nzechukwu
Nzechukwu
14-6-1 Southpaw · Nigeria
VS
3 Rounds
Blue Corner
Shamil
Gaziev
Gaziev
14-3-0 Orthodox · Bahrain
Market anchor
No line posted for this bout — a stats-only read, so the confidence tier is capped.
How it likely ends
| KO / TKO | Sub | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nzechukwu | 29% | 8% | 17% |
| Gaziev | 25% | 9% | 13% |
Goes the distance30%
Round projection
Finish likely — late
Exact round is withheld — needs 9+ UFC fights each — have 15 and 6; Gaziev's chin cracked in a recent fight. The engine only commits a round when the sample earns it.
Why — the drivers
Most likely path: Nzechukwu by KO/TKO (29%). 70% chance of a finish.
Highest single-outcome probability on the board.
favors Nzechukwu
Career record: 14-6-1 vs 14-3-0
favors Gaziev
Recent form (last 5): 2-2-1 vs 2-3
favors Nzechukwu
Striking volume: 5.0/min vs 2.9/min
favors Nzechukwu
Reach: 83" vs 78.5"
favors Nzechukwu
Durability (KO losses): 2 vs 3 in UFC
favors Nzechukwu
Takedown pace: 0.5/15min vs 1.1/15min
favors Gaziev
Swept 20 / 17 fightsFeeds: ESPN scoreboard · ESPN core · ESPN BET oddsAs of Jul 24, 10:14 AM ET