FinalRodrigues def. Hernandez — Decision - Unanimous, Round 5, 5:00APEX called it ✓
APEX picks
Anthony Hernandez versus Gregory Rodrigues — Rodrigues to win
44% Hernandez · 56% Rodrigues56%
Lean call — near even
Capped at 85% by design
No line posted for this bout, so there's nothing to check the read against. The pick is unaffected — it comes from the fighters' own numbers either way.
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Why — the drivers
Recent form (last 5)the last five boutsHernandez: 3-2Rodrigues: 4-1Leans toward Rodrigues.
Takedown pacetakedowns / 15 minHernandez: 5.3Rodrigues: 1.6Leans toward Hernandez.
Knockdown powerknockdowns / 15 minHernandez: 0.00Rodrigues: 1.17Leans toward Rodrigues.
Control timeshare of the fight controlledHernandez: 51%Rodrigues: 17%Leans toward Hernandez.
Striking volumesig. strikes landed / minHernandez: 4.4Rodrigues: 5.8Leans toward Rodrigues.
Submission threatattempts / 15 minHernandez: 1.4Rodrigues: 0.3Leans toward Hernandez.
Career recordshown for context — not part of the pickHernandez: 15-4-0Rodrigues: 20-6-0Shown for context; it does not move the pick.
Rodrigues leads on recent form (last 5) and knockdown power; Hernandez leads on takedown pace.
Each bar leans toward the fighter that metric favours; its length is how hard the metric pulled, next to the strongest one here. The gold rows are not edges — they never push the pick toward either fighter.
Variable form — recent results swing between dominant and disastrous on at least one side, so the read is damped further toward an even fight.
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