Red Corner
Michael
Page
Page
25-3-0 Switch
VS
3 Rounds
Blue Corner
Nursulton
Ruziboev
Ruziboev
37-9-2 Orthodox · Uzbekistan
Market anchor
No line posted for this bout — a stats-only read, so the confidence tier is capped.
How it likely ends
| KO / TKO | Sub | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ruziboev | 28% | 17% | 12% |
| Page | 18% | 6% | 19% |
Goes the distance31%
Round projection
Finish likely — late
Exact round is withheld — needs 9+ UFC fights each — have 5 and 6. The engine only commits a round when the sample earns it.
Why — the drivers
Most likely path: Ruziboev by KO/TKO (28%). 69% chance of a finish.
Highest single-outcome probability on the board.
favors Ruziboev
Age: 39 vs 32
favors Ruziboev
Career record: 25-3-0 vs 37-9-2
favors Page
Knockdown power: 0.00/15min vs 1.02/15min
favors Ruziboev
Takedown pace: 0.0/15min vs 1.4/15min
favors Ruziboev
Finish rate: 53% vs 93% of wins
favors Ruziboev
Striking accuracy: 56% vs 46%
favors Page
Swept 20 / 20 fightsFeeds: ESPN scoreboard · ESPN core · ESPN BET oddsAs of Jul 24, 11:02 AM ET