FinalParnasse def. Hooker — KO/TKO — Punch, Round 1, 2:35APEX called it ✓
APEX picks
Dan Hooker versus Salahdine Parnasse — Parnasse to win
35% Hooker · 65% Parnasse65%
Solid confidence
Capped at 85% by design
APEX reads65%From the fighters' numbers
Vegas, de-vigged80%Parnasse -500
AgreesBoth sides favour Parnasse; the line is 15 points more confident than APEX. Shown for comparison — the line is not an input to the pick.
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Why — the drivers
Recent form (last 5)the last five boutsHooker: 3-2Parnasse: 5-0Leans toward Parnasse.
Ageyears oldHooker: 36Parnasse: 28Leans toward Parnasse.
Reachhow far they can hit fromHooker: 75"Parnasse: 71.5"Leans toward Hooker.
Durability (KO losses)times stopped in the UFCHooker: 4Parnasse: 1Leans toward Parnasse.
Level of competitionwho they have actually beatenHooker: 392Parnasse: 463Leans toward Parnasse.
Career recordshown for context — not part of the pickHooker: 24-15-0Parnasse: 24-2-0Shown for context; it does not move the pick.
Parnasse leads on recent form (last 5) and age; Hooker leads on reach.
Each bar leans toward the fighter that metric favours; its length is how hard the metric pulled, next to the strongest one here. The gold rows are not edges — they never push the pick toward either fighter.
Variable form — recent results swing between dominant and disastrous on at least one side, so the read is damped further toward an even fight.
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