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UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. UsmanW Strawweight3 RoundsSat, Jul 18
Final · Fatima Kline wins · Decision - Unanimous · R3
Red Corner
Tabatha
Ricci
12-5-0 Orthodox · Brazil
VS
3 Rounds
Blue Corner
Fatima
Kline
10-1-0 Orthodox · USA
15Ricci
85Kline · Favored
Pick · Fatima Kline · SOLIDModel reads 85%Capped at 85% by design
Market anchor
No line posted for this bout — a stats-only read, so the confidence tier is capped.
How it likely ends
KO / TKOSubDec
Kline35%13%37%
Ricci5%3%7%
Goes the distance44%
Round projection
Finish likely — late
R1
36%
R2
20%
R3
R4
R5
44%
Dist
Exact round is withheld — needs 9+ UFC fights each — have 12 and 5. The engine only commits a round when the sample earns it.
Why — the drivers
Most likely path: Kline by Decision (37%). 56% chance of a finish.
Highest single-outcome probability on the board.
favors Kline
Recent form (last 5): 2-3 vs 4-1
favors Kline
Career record: 12-5-0 vs 10-1-0
favors Kline
Age: 31 vs 26
favors Kline
Reach: 61" vs 67.5"
favors Kline
Striking accuracy: 36% vs 48%
favors Kline
Striking volume: 3.8/min vs 4.9/min
favors Kline
Swept 17 / 11 fightsFeeds: ESPN scoreboard · ESPN core · ESPN BET oddsAs of Jul 24, 11:06 AM ET