Final · Chase Hooper wins · Submission — Rear Naked Choke · R1
Red Corner
Chase
Hooper
Hooper
17-5-1 Southpaw · USA
VS
3 Rounds
Blue Corner
Mitch
Ramirez
Ramirez
8-4-0 Orthodox · USA
Market anchor
No line posted for this bout — a stats-only read, so the confidence tier is capped.
How it likely ends
| KO / TKO | Sub | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hooper | 28% | 31% | 24% |
| Ramirez | 8% | 4% | 5% |
Goes the distance30%
Round projection
Finish likely — early
Exact round is withheld — needs 9+ UFC fights each — have 14 and 3; Hooper's chin cracked in a recent fight; Ramirez's chin cracked in a recent fight. The engine only commits a round when the sample earns it.
Why — the drivers
Most likely path: Hooper by Submission (31%). 70% chance of a finish.
Highest single-outcome probability on the board.
favors Hooper
Recent form (last 5): 3-2 vs 1-4
favors Hooper
Career record: 17-5-1 vs 8-4-0
favors Hooper
Age: 26 vs 33
favors Hooper
Takedown pace: 2.5/15min vs 0.5/15min
favors Hooper
Submission threat: 2.2/15min vs 0.0/15min
favors Hooper
Reach: 74" vs 70.5"
favors Hooper
Swept 20 / 12 fightsFeeds: ESPN scoreboard · ESPN core · ESPN BET oddsAs of Jul 24, 11:01 AM ET