Final · Christian Leroy Duncan wins · Decision - Unanimous · R3
Red Corner
Jared
Cannonier
Cannonier
18-10-0 Switch · USA
VS
3 Rounds
Blue Corner
Christian Leroy
Duncan
Duncan
15-2-0 Switch · England
Market anchor
No line posted for this bout — a stats-only read, so the confidence tier is capped.
How it likely ends
| KO / TKO | Sub | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan | 45% | 11% | 29% |
| Cannonier | 8% | 2% | 6% |
Goes the distance34%
Round projection
Goes the distance
Veteran read Two seasoned veterans (18 and 10 UFC bouts), but the styles point to the scorecards.
Why — the drivers
Most likely path: Duncan by KO/TKO (45%). 66% chance of a finish.
Highest single-outcome probability on the board.
favors Duncan
Recent form (last 5): 1-4 vs 5-0
favors Duncan
Career record: 18-10-0 vs 15-2-0
favors Duncan
Age: 42 vs 31
favors Duncan
Striking accuracy: 49% vs 58%
favors Duncan
Durability (KO losses): 2 vs 0 in UFC
favors Duncan
Finish rate: 64% vs 73% of wins
favors Duncan
Swept 20 / 17 fightsFeeds: ESPN scoreboard · ESPN core · ESPN BET oddsAs of Jul 24, 11:02 AM ET