Final · Dricus Du Plessis wins · Decision - Unanimous · R5
Red Corner
Kamaru
Usman
Usman
21-5-0 Switch · Nigeria
VS
5 Rounds
Blue Corner
Dricus
Du Plessis
Du Plessis
24-3-0 Switch · South Africa
Market anchor
No line posted for this bout — a stats-only read, so the confidence tier is capped.
How it likely ends
| KO / TKO | Sub | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Du Plessis | 33% | 21% | 24% |
| Usman | 8% | 3% | 11% |
Goes the distance35%
Round projection
Goes the distance
Veteran read Two seasoned veterans (18 and 11 UFC bouts), but the styles point to the scorecards.
Why — the drivers
Most likely path: Du Plessis by KO/TKO (33%). 65% chance of a finish.
Highest single-outcome probability on the board.
favors Du Plessis
Recent form (last 5): 1-4 vs 4-1
favors Du Plessis
Age: 39 vs 32
favors Du Plessis
Career record: 21-5-0 vs 24-3-0
favors Du Plessis
Takedown pace: 2.6/15min vs 1.7/15min
favors Usman
Finish rate: 31% vs 78% of wins
favors Du Plessis
Striking volume: 4.1/min vs 4.7/min
favors Du Plessis
Swept 20 / 20 fightsFeeds: ESPN scoreboard · ESPN core · ESPN BET oddsAs of Jul 24, 11:02 AM ET