Final · Navajo Stirling wins · KO/TKO — Punches · R2
Red Corner
Ion
Cutelaba
Cutelaba
20-12-1 Southpaw · Moldova
VS
3 Rounds
Blue Corner
Navajo
Stirling
Stirling
10-0-0 Orthodox · New Zealand
Market anchor
No line posted for this bout — a stats-only read, so the confidence tier is capped.
How it likely ends
| KO / TKO | Sub | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stirling | 44% | 9% | 32% |
| Cutelaba | 6% | 3% | 6% |
Goes the distance37%
Round projection
Finish likely — late
Exact round is withheld — needs 9+ UFC fights each — have 19 and 5; Cutelaba's chin cracked in a recent fight. The engine only commits a round when the sample earns it.
Why — the drivers
Most likely path: Stirling by KO/TKO (44%). 63% chance of a finish.
Highest single-outcome probability on the board.
favors Stirling
Career record: 20-12-1 vs 10-0-0
favors Stirling
Recent form (last 5): 3-2 vs 5-0
favors Stirling
Takedown pace: 4.3/15min vs 0.9/15min
favors Cutelaba
Age: 32 vs 28
favors Stirling
Durability (KO losses): 4 vs 0 in UFC
favors Stirling
Striking volume: 4.3/min vs 6.2/min
favors Stirling
Swept 20 / 10 fightsFeeds: ESPN scoreboard · ESPN core · ESPN BET oddsAs of Jul 24, 11:04 AM ET