Final · Ikram Aliskerov wins · Decision - Unanimous · R3
Red Corner
Ikram
Aliskerov
Aliskerov
18-2-0 Southpaw · Russia
VS
3 Rounds
Blue Corner
Brunno
Ferreira
Ferreira
15-4-0 Orthodox · Brazil
Market anchor
No line posted for this bout — a stats-only read, so the confidence tier is capped.
How it likely ends
| KO / TKO | Sub | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aliskerov | 36% | 18% | 23% |
| Ferreira | 13% | 6% | 5% |
Goes the distance27%
Round projection
Finish likely — early
Exact round is withheld — needs 9+ UFC fights each — have 6 and 10; Ferreira's chin cracked in a recent fight. The engine only commits a round when the sample earns it.
Why — the drivers
Most likely path: Aliskerov by KO/TKO (36%). 73% chance of a finish.
Highest single-outcome probability on the board.
favors Aliskerov
Recent form (last 5): 4-1 vs 3-2
favors Aliskerov
Career record: 18-2-0 vs 15-4-0
favors Aliskerov
Takedown pace: 3.8/15min vs 1.0/15min
favors Aliskerov
Striking volume: 5.6/min vs 3.3/min
favors Aliskerov
Reach: 76" vs 72"
favors Aliskerov
Striking accuracy: 61% vs 49%
favors Aliskerov
Swept 20 / 19 fightsFeeds: ESPN scoreboard · ESPN core · ESPN BET oddsAs of Jul 24, 11:06 AM ET