Final · Rafael Fiziev wins · KO/TKO — Punches · R2
Red Corner
Rafael
Fiziev
Fiziev
14-5-0 Switch · Azerbaijan
VS
5 Rounds
Blue Corner
Manuel
Torres
Torres
17-4-0 Switch · Mexico
Market anchor
No line posted for this bout — a stats-only read, so the confidence tier is capped.
How it likely ends
| KO / TKO | Sub | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Torres | 35% | 20% | 12% |
| Fiziev | 17% | 4% | 12% |
Goes the distance23%
Round projection
Finish likely — early
Exact round is withheld — needs 9+ UFC fights each — have 13 and 7; Fiziev's chin cracked in a recent fight; Torres's chin cracked in a recent fight. The engine only commits a round when the sample earns it.
Why — the drivers
Most likely path: Torres by KO/TKO (35%). 77% chance of a finish.
Highest single-outcome probability on the board.
favors Torres
Knockdown power: 0.30/15min vs 3.31/15min
favors Torres
Career record: 14-5-0 vs 17-4-0
favors Torres
Recent form (last 5): 2-3 vs 3-2
favors Torres
Reach: 71.5" vs 73.5"
favors Torres
Finish rate: 71% vs 94% of wins
favors Torres
Durability (KO losses): 3 vs 2 in UFC
favors Torres
Swept 19 / 20 fightsFeeds: ESPN scoreboard · ESPN core · ESPN BET oddsAs of Jul 24, 11:03 AM ET