HomeEventsRankingsOdds · Live oddsOdds · ParlaysPredictions · Current eventsPredictions · Dev cards
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado GarryW Flyweight3 RoundsSat, Aug 15
Red Corner
Erin
Blanchfield
14-2-0 Orthodox · USA
VS
3 Rounds
Blue Corner
Jasmine
Jasudavicius
15-4-0 Orthodox · Canada
64Blanchfield · Favored
36Jasudavicius
Pick · Erin Blanchfield · SOLIDModel reads 64%Capped at 85% by design
Market anchor
No line posted for this bout — a stats-only read, so the confidence tier is capped.
How it likely ends
KO / TKOSubDec
Blanchfield19%17%27%
Jasudavicius11%8%17%
Goes the distance44%
Round projection
Finish likely — early
32%
R1
23%
R2
R3
R4
R5
44%
Dist
Exact round is withheld — Jasudavicius's chin cracked in a recent fight. The engine only commits a round when the sample earns it.
Why — the drivers
Most likely path: Blanchfield by Decision (27%). 56% chance of a finish.
Highest single-outcome probability on the board.
favors Blanchfield
Age: 27 vs 37
favors Blanchfield
Career record: 14-2-0 vs 15-4-0
favors Blanchfield
Striking volume: 4.7/min vs 3.5/min
favors Blanchfield
Takedown pace: 1.7/15min vs 2.6/15min
favors Jasudavicius
Recent form (last 5): 4-1 vs 4-1
favors Blanchfield
Reach: 66" vs 68"
favors Jasudavicius
Swept 16 / 19 fightsFeeds: ESPN scoreboard · ESPN core · ESPN BET oddsAs of Jul 24, 10:16 AM ET