Final · King Green wins · KO/TKO — Punch · R1
Red Corner
King
Green
Green
36-17-1 Orthodox · USA
VS
3 Rounds
Blue Corner
Terrance
McKinney
McKinney
18-9-0 Switch · USA
Market anchor
No line posted for this bout — a stats-only read, so the confidence tier is capped.
How it likely ends
| KO / TKO | Sub | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Green | 23% | 10% | 23% |
| McKinney | 24% | 12% | 7% |
Goes the distance30%
Round projection
Finish likely — early
Exact round is withheld — McKinney's chin cracked in a recent fight. The engine only commits a round when the sample earns it.
Why — the drivers
Most likely path: McKinney by KO/TKO (24%). 70% chance of a finish.
Highest single-outcome probability on the board.
favors McKinney
Recent form (last 5): 4-1 vs 3-2
favors Green
Age: 39 vs 31
favors McKinney
Striking volume: 7.9/min vs 6.8/min
favors Green
Finish rate: 50% vs 100% of wins
favors McKinney
Takedown pace: 1.5/15min vs 3.3/15min
favors McKinney
Submission threat: 0.3/15min vs 1.8/15min
favors McKinney
Swept 20 / 20 fightsFeeds: ESPN scoreboard · ESPN core · ESPN BET oddsAs of Jul 24, 11:07 AM ET