Final · Brendan Allen wins · Decision - Unanimous · R3
Red Corner
Brendan
Allen
Allen
27-7-0 Orthodox · Brazil
VS
3 Rounds
Blue Corner
Edmen
Shahbazyan
Shahbazyan
16-6-0 Orthodox · USA
Market anchor
No line posted for this bout — a stats-only read, so the confidence tier is capped.
How it likely ends
| KO / TKO | Sub | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Allen | 18% | 19% | 20% |
| Shahbazyan | 26% | 6% | 10% |
Goes the distance30%
Round projection
Finish — Round 2
Veteran read Allen's stoppages cluster in R1; Shahbazyan has been finished around R2 — the histograms meet at R2.
Why — the drivers
Most likely path: Shahbazyan by KO/TKO (26%). 70% chance of a finish.
Highest single-outcome probability on the board.
favors Shahbazyan
Recent form (last 5): 3-2 vs 3-2
favors Allen
Career record: 27-7-0 vs 16-6-0
favors Allen
Knockdown power: 0.27/15min vs 0.95/15min
favors Shahbazyan
Submission threat: 1.1/15min vs 0.4/15min
favors Allen
Finish rate: 63% vs 86% of wins
favors Shahbazyan
Striking accuracy: 52% vs 49%
favors Allen
Swept 20 / 20 fightsFeeds: ESPN scoreboard · ESPN core · ESPN BET oddsAs of Jul 24, 11:08 AM ET