Final · Khaos Williams wins · KO/TKO — Punches · R1
Red Corner
Khaos
Williams
Williams
16-5-0 Orthodox · USA
VS
3 Rounds
Blue Corner
Nikolay
Veretennikov
Veretennikov
14-8-0 Orthodox · Kazakhstan
Market anchor
No line posted for this bout — a stats-only read, so the confidence tier is capped.
How it likely ends
| KO / TKO | Sub | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Williams | 36% | 9% | 25% |
| Veretennikov | 15% | 4% | 10% |
Goes the distance35%
Round projection
Finish likely — early
Exact round is withheld — needs 9+ UFC fights each — have 11 and 6; Veretennikov's chin cracked in a recent fight. The engine only commits a round when the sample earns it.
Why — the drivers
Most likely path: Williams by KO/TKO (36%). 65% chance of a finish.
Highest single-outcome probability on the board.
favors Williams
Career record: 16-5-0 vs 14-8-0
favors Williams
Recent form (last 5): 3-2 vs 2-3
favors Williams
Knockdown power: 0.88/15min vs 0.00/15min
favors Williams
Age: 32 vs 36
favors Williams
Striking accuracy: 39% vs 56%
favors Veretennikov
Striking volume: 5.0/min vs 2.7/min
favors Williams
Swept 20 / 20 fightsFeeds: ESPN scoreboard · ESPN core · ESPN BET oddsAs of Jul 24, 11:08 AM ET