Final · Dooho Choi wins · KO/TKO — Punch · R2
Red Corner
Dooho
Choi
Choi
17-4-1 Orthodox · South Korea
VS
3 Rounds
Blue Corner
Daniel
Santos
Santos
14-3-0 Orthodox · Brazil
Market anchor
No line posted for this bout — a stats-only read, so the confidence tier is capped.
How it likely ends
| KO / TKO | Sub | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Choi | 32% | 6% | 13% |
| Santos | 23% | 8% | 18% |
Goes the distance31%
Round projection
Finish likely — late
Exact round is withheld — needs 9+ UFC fights each — have 9 and 6; Santos's chin cracked in a recent fight. The engine only commits a round when the sample earns it.
Why — the drivers
Most likely path: Choi by KO/TKO (32%). 69% chance of a finish.
Highest single-outcome probability on the board.
favors Choi
Recent form (last 5): 3-1-1 vs 4-1
favors Choi
Age: 35 vs 31
favors Santos
Striking accuracy: 56% vs 40%
favors Choi
Takedown pace: 0.9/15min vs 2.6/15min
favors Santos
Striking volume: 3.5/min vs 5.2/min
favors Santos
Reach: 70" vs 67"
favors Choi
Swept 20 / 17 fightsFeeds: ESPN scoreboard · ESPN core · ESPN BET oddsAs of Jul 24, 11:09 AM ET