Final · Bernardo Sopaj wins · Submission — Rear Naked Choke · R2
Red Corner
Bernardo
Sopaj
Sopaj
13-3-0 Orthodox · Albania
VS
3 Rounds
Blue Corner
Timmy
Cuamba
Cuamba
10-4-0 Orthodox · USA
Market anchor
No line posted for this bout — a stats-only read, so the confidence tier is capped.
How it likely ends
| KO / TKO | Sub | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sopaj | 38% | 19% | 17% |
| Cuamba | 12% | 3% | 12% |
Goes the distance29%
Round projection
Finish likely — late
Exact round is withheld — needs 9+ UFC fights each — have 3 and 5. The engine only commits a round when the sample earns it.
Why — the drivers
Most likely path: Sopaj by KO/TKO (38%). 71% chance of a finish.
Highest single-outcome probability on the board.
favors Sopaj
Recent form (last 5): 4-1 vs 2-3
favors Sopaj
Career record: 13-3-0 vs 10-4-0
favors Sopaj
Reach: 66" vs 71"
favors Cuamba
Striking accuracy: 58% vs 43%
favors Sopaj
Striking volume: 4.4/min vs 2.9/min
favors Sopaj
Knockdown power: 0.81/15min vs 0.20/15min
favors Sopaj
Swept 16 / 14 fightsFeeds: ESPN scoreboard · ESPN core · ESPN BET oddsAs of Jul 24, 11:06 AM ET