Final · Joshua Van wins · KO/TKO — Punches · R5
Red Corner
Tatsuro
Taira
Taira
18-2-0 Orthodox · Japan
VS
5 Rounds
Blue Corner
Joshua
Van
Van
17-2-0 Orthodox · Myanmar
Market anchor
No line posted for this bout — a stats-only read, so the confidence tier is capped.
How it likely ends
| KO / TKO | Sub | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Van | 34% | 11% | 23% |
| Taira | 13% | 10% | 9% |
Goes the distance32%
Round projection
Finish likely — late
Exact round is withheld — Taira's chin cracked in a recent fight. The engine only commits a round when the sample earns it.
Why — the drivers
Most likely path: Van by KO/TKO (34%). 68% chance of a finish.
Highest single-outcome probability on the board.
favors Van
Recent form (last 5): 3-2 vs 5-0
favors Van
Striking volume: 2.9/min vs 8.4/min
favors Van
Takedown pace: 3.6/15min vs 0.8/15min
favors Taira
Reach: 70" vs 65"
favors Taira
Knockdown power: 0.38/15min vs 0.72/15min
favors Van
Submission threat: 1.3/15min vs 0.2/15min
favors Taira
Swept 20 / 19 fightsFeeds: ESPN scoreboard · ESPN core · ESPN BET oddsAs of Jul 24, 11:07 AM ET