Final · King Green wins · Submission — Rear Naked Choke · R1
Red Corner
Jeremy
Stephens
Stephens
29-23-0 Orthodox · USA
VS
3 Rounds
Blue Corner
King
Green
Green
36-17-1 Orthodox · USA
Market anchor
No line posted for this bout — a stats-only read, so the confidence tier is capped.
How it likely ends
| KO / TKO | Sub | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Green | 35% | 15% | 35% |
| Stephens | 7% | 2% | 6% |
Goes the distance41%
Round projection
Goes the distance
Veteran read Two seasoned veterans (16 and 20 UFC bouts), but the styles point to the scorecards.
Why — the drivers
Most likely path: Green by Decision (35%). 59% chance of a finish.
Highest single-outcome probability on the board.
favors Green
Recent form (last 5): 1-4 vs 4-1
favors Green
Striking volume: 3.7/min vs 7.9/min
favors Green
Career record: 29-23-0 vs 36-17-1
favors Green
Striking accuracy: 39% vs 56%
favors Green
Takedown pace: 0.3/15min vs 1.5/15min
favors Green
Knockdown power: 0.84/15min vs 0.50/15min
favors Stephens
Swept 20 / 20 fightsFeeds: ESPN scoreboard · ESPN core · ESPN BET oddsAs of Jul 24, 11:06 AM ET