Final · Bo Nickal wins · KO/TKO — Punches · R1
Red Corner
Kyle
Daukaus
Daukaus
17-5-0 Southpaw · USA
VS
3 Rounds
Blue Corner
Bo
Nickal
Nickal
9-1-0 Southpaw · USA
Market anchor
No line posted for this bout — a stats-only read, so the confidence tier is capped.
How it likely ends
| KO / TKO | Sub | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nickal | 32% | 24% | 12% |
| Daukaus | 10% | 14% | 8% |
Goes the distance20%
Round projection
Finish likely — early
Exact round is withheld — needs 9+ UFC fights each — have 10 and 7; Daukaus's chin cracked in a recent fight. The engine only commits a round when the sample earns it.
Why — the drivers
Most likely path: Nickal by KO/TKO (32%). 80% chance of a finish.
Highest single-outcome probability on the board.
favors Nickal
Career record: 17-5-0 vs 9-1-0
favors Nickal
Recent form (last 5): 4-1 vs 4-1
favors Nickal
Age: 33 vs 30
favors Nickal
Knockdown power: 0.36/15min vs 0.85/15min
favors Nickal
Takedown pace: 2.0/15min vs 3.1/15min
favors Nickal
Striking accuracy: 53% vs 62%
favors Nickal
Swept 20 / 10 fightsFeeds: ESPN scoreboard · ESPN core · ESPN BET oddsAs of Jul 24, 11:04 AM ET