Final · Brando Peričić wins · KO/TKO — Punch · R2
Red Corner
Shamil
Gaziev
Gaziev
14-3-0 Orthodox · Bahrain
VS
3 Rounds
Blue Corner
Brando
Peričić
Peričić
7-1-0 Orthodox · Australia
Market anchor
No line posted for this bout — a stats-only read, so the confidence tier is capped.
How it likely ends
| KO / TKO | Sub | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peričić | 56% | 13% | 15% |
| Gaziev | 9% | 3% | 4% |
Goes the distance19%
Round projection
Finish likely — late
Exact round is withheld — needs 9+ UFC fights each — have 6 and 3; Gaziev's chin cracked in a recent fight. The engine only commits a round when the sample earns it.
Why — the drivers
Most likely path: Peričić by KO/TKO (56%). 81% chance of a finish.
Highest single-outcome probability on the board.
favors Peričić
Recent form (last 5): 2-3 vs 5-0
favors Peričić
Age: 36 vs 31
favors Peričić
Striking volume: 2.9/min vs 11.0/min
favors Peričić
Career record: 14-3-0 vs 7-1-0
favors Peričić
Durability (KO losses): 3 vs 0 in UFC
favors Peričić
Striking accuracy: 46% vs 58%
favors Peričić
Swept 17 / 8 fightsFeeds: ESPN scoreboard · ESPN core · ESPN BET oddsAs of Jul 24, 11:03 AM ET