Final · Quillan Salkilld wins · KO/TKO — Punches · R1
Red Corner
Beneil
Dariush
Dariush
23-8-1 Southpaw · USA
VS
3 Rounds
Blue Corner
Quillan
Salkilld
Salkilld
12-1-0 Orthodox · Australia
Market anchor
No line posted for this bout — a stats-only read, so the confidence tier is capped.
How it likely ends
| KO / TKO | Sub | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Salkilld | 41% | 22% | 21% |
| Dariush | 6% | 3% | 6% |
Goes the distance28%
Round projection
Finish likely — early
Exact round is withheld — needs 9+ UFC fights each — have 20 and 5; Dariush's chin cracked in a recent fight. The engine only commits a round when the sample earns it.
Why — the drivers
Most likely path: Salkilld by KO/TKO (41%). 72% chance of a finish.
Highest single-outcome probability on the board.
favors Salkilld
Recent form (last 5): 1-4 vs 5-0
favors Salkilld
Career record: 23-8-1 vs 12-1-0
favors Salkilld
Age: 37 vs 26
favors Salkilld
Durability (KO losses): 6 vs 0 in UFC
favors Salkilld
Takedown pace: 2.2/15min vs 7.2/15min
favors Salkilld
Reach: 72" vs 75"
favors Salkilld
Swept 20 / 13 fightsFeeds: ESPN scoreboard · ESPN core · ESPN BET oddsAs of Jul 24, 11:02 AM ET