Final · Davey Grant wins · Decision - Unanimous · R3
Red Corner
Davey
Grant
Grant
18-8-0 Orthodox · England
VS
3 Rounds
Blue Corner
Adrian Luna
Martinetti
Martinetti
17-2-0 Orthodox · Ecuador
Market anchor
No line posted for this bout — a stats-only read, so the confidence tier is capped.
How it likely ends
| KO / TKO | Sub | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Martinetti | 25% | 18% | 31% |
| Grant | 10% | 6% | 10% |
Goes the distance41%
Round projection
Finish likely — late
Exact round is withheld — needs 9+ UFC fights each — have 15 and 1. The engine only commits a round when the sample earns it.
Why — the drivers
Most likely path: Martinetti by Decision (31%). 59% chance of a finish.
Highest single-outcome probability on the board.
favors Martinetti
Career record: 18-8-0 vs 17-2-0
favors Martinetti
Age: 40 vs 30
favors Martinetti
Recent form (last 5): 3-2 vs 4-1
favors Martinetti
Takedown pace: 0.8/15min vs 2.0/15min
favors Martinetti
Striking accuracy: 46% vs 59%
favors Martinetti
Striking volume: 5.2/min vs 8.8/min
favors Martinetti
Swept 20 / 19 fightsFeeds: ESPN scoreboard · ESPN core · ESPN BET oddsAs of Jul 24, 11:01 AM ET