Final · Jai Herbert wins · KO/TKO — Punches · R1
Red Corner
Mandel
Nallo
Nallo
14-4-0 Orthodox · Canada
VS
3 Rounds
Blue Corner
Jai
Herbert
Herbert
14-6-1 Orthodox · England
Market anchor
No line posted for this bout — a stats-only read, so the confidence tier is capped.
How it likely ends
| KO / TKO | Sub | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nallo | 36% | 18% | 11% |
| Herbert | 20% | 5% | 10% |
Goes the distance22%
Round projection
Finish likely — late
Exact round is withheld — needs 9+ UFC fights each — have 1 and 10; Nallo's chin cracked in a recent fight. The engine only commits a round when the sample earns it.
Why — the drivers
Most likely path: Nallo by KO/TKO (36%). 78% chance of a finish.
Highest single-outcome probability on the board.
favors Nallo
Recent form (last 5): 4-1 vs 2-2-1
favors Nallo
Career record: 14-4-0 vs 14-6-1
favors Nallo
Striking accuracy: 58% vs 42%
favors Nallo
Striking volume: 3.7/min vs 2.9/min
favors Nallo
Reach: 75" vs 77"
favors Herbert
Finish rate: 100% vs 77% of wins
favors Nallo
Swept 19 / 20 fightsFeeds: ESPN scoreboard · ESPN core · ESPN BET oddsAs of Jul 24, 11:04 AM ET