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UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. MalottBantamweight3 RoundsSat, Apr 18
Final · Charles Jourdain wins · Decision - Unanimous · R3
Red Corner
Kyler
Phillips
12-5-0 Orthodox · USA
VS
3 Rounds
Blue Corner
Charles
Jourdain
18-8-1 Switch · Canada
35Phillips
65Jourdain · Favored
Pick · Charles Jourdain · SOLIDModel reads 65%Capped at 85% by design
Market anchor
No line posted for this bout — a stats-only read, so the confidence tier is capped.
How it likely ends
KO / TKOSubDec
Jourdain24%21%19%
Phillips15%6%14%
Goes the distance33%
Round projection
Goes the distance
17%
R1
28%
R2
22%
R3
R4
R5
33%
Dist
Veteran read Two seasoned veterans (10 and 17 UFC bouts), but the styles point to the scorecards.
Why — the drivers
Most likely path: Jourdain by KO/TKO (24%). 67% chance of a finish.
Highest single-outcome probability on the board.
favors Jourdain
Recent form (last 5): 2-3 vs 3-2
favors Jourdain
Takedown pace: 2.8/15min vs 0.4/15min
favors Phillips
Reach: 72" vs 69"
favors Phillips
Striking accuracy: 43% vs 49%
favors Jourdain
Striking volume: 4.8/min vs 5.4/min
favors Jourdain
Knockdown power: 0.33/15min vs 0.54/15min
favors Jourdain
Swept 17 / 20 fightsFeeds: ESPN scoreboard · ESPN core · ESPN BET oddsAs of Jul 24, 11:01 AM ET