HomeEventsRankingsOdds · Live oddsOdds · ParlaysPredictions · Current eventsPredictions · Dev cards
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. MalottW Flyweight3 RoundsSat, Apr 18
Final · Jasmine Jasudavicius wins · Decision - Unanimous · R3
Red Corner
Karine
Silva
19-7-0 Orthodox · Brazil
VS
3 Rounds
Blue Corner
Jasmine
Jasudavicius
15-4-0 Orthodox · Canada
34Silva
66Jasudavicius · Favored
Pick · Jasmine Jasudavicius · SOLIDModel reads 66%Capped at 85% by design
Market anchor
No line posted for this bout — a stats-only read, so the confidence tier is capped.
How it likely ends
KO / TKOSubDec
Jasudavicius20%15%31%
Silva12%14%9%
Goes the distance39%
Round projection
Finish likely — early
43%
R1
17%
R2
R3
R4
R5
39%
Dist
Exact round is withheld — needs 9+ UFC fights each — have 8 and 12; Jasudavicius's chin cracked in a recent fight. The engine only commits a round when the sample earns it.
Why — the drivers
Most likely path: Jasudavicius by Decision (31%). 61% chance of a finish.
Highest single-outcome probability on the board.
favors Jasudavicius
Recent form (last 5): 2-3 vs 4-1
favors Jasudavicius
Age: 32 vs 37
favors Silva
Career record: 19-7-0 vs 15-4-0
favors Jasudavicius
Finish rate: 86% vs 40% of wins
favors Silva
Takedown pace: 1.9/15min vs 2.6/15min
favors Jasudavicius
Striking volume: 2.2/min vs 3.5/min
favors Jasudavicius
Swept 20 / 19 fightsFeeds: ESPN scoreboard · ESPN core · ESPN BET oddsAs of Jul 24, 11:08 AM ET