Final · Song Yadong wins · Submission — Guillotine Choke · R2
Red Corner
Song
Yadong
Yadong
23-9-1 Orthodox · China
VS
5 Rounds
Blue Corner
Deiveson
Figueiredo
Figueiredo
25-7-1 Orthodox · Brazil
Market anchor
No line posted for this bout — a stats-only read, so the confidence tier is capped.
How it likely ends
| KO / TKO | Sub | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yadong | 29% | 11% | 26% |
| Figueiredo | 13% | 9% | 12% |
Goes the distance38%
Round projection
Goes the distance
Veteran read Two seasoned veterans (17 and 20 UFC bouts), but the styles point to the scorecards.
Why — the drivers
Most likely path: Yadong by KO/TKO (29%). 62% chance of a finish.
Highest single-outcome probability on the board.
favors Yadong
Recent form (last 5): 3-2 vs 1-4
favors Yadong
Age: 28 vs 38
favors Yadong
Career record: 23-9-1 vs 25-7-1
favors Figueiredo
Striking volume: 4.3/min vs 2.7/min
favors Yadong
Striking accuracy: 44% vs 54%
favors Figueiredo
Takedown pace: 0.8/15min vs 1.6/15min
favors Figueiredo
Swept 20 / 20 fightsFeeds: ESPN scoreboard · ESPN core · ESPN BET oddsAs of Jul 24, 11:07 AM ET